| re: NJC: Obama is a smooth cat! | |
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Posted by: |
John_Galt (g_brandon_martin@ureach.com) 04:49 pm UTC 03/22/08 |
| In reply to: | NJC: Obama is a smooth cat! - Vin 05:46 pm UTC 03/18/08 |
| I agree. Furthermore, I think Obama looks particularly attractive because in the months preceding the speech he has seemed bored or frustrated by race as a focus of attention within his party. That's in stark contrast to almost every other Democratic African-American politician or pundit you can think of. The rank and file, working white male labor union guys listen to Al Sharpton and Jessie Jackson focus on and talk endlessly about race, racism, and racial issues, and they hear something that doesn't gel with their own beliefs. It kinda sounds racist to them. Obama on the other hand triangulates on race. He knows he isn't going to loose the African-American vote, so he speaks and communicates about race embodying the values of a middle-class white guy. Here's a scenario I can still see: Obama goes into the convention with a lead in delegates but a lot of that comes from various smaller states like Iowa and Nevada where he won in caucauses. Hillary, leads in the popular votes by a significant margin even if you don't count Michigan and Florida. Most party leaders have been saying they'll follow the "will of the people." In national polls, that's Obama. In the number of popular votes cast, that's Hillary. Obama will counter that the standard should be who has the most delegates even if there is no lock, which is what the media has been pushing for weeks. It's a tough call. Despite the polls, either Hillary or Obama should easily beat McCain, whose own party may not be able to motivate themselves to vote for a guy many of them disagree with and detest. But, if Hillary wins the nomination at the convention, the democrats will pay $50 million dollars for an August show that the media will piss all over. Young democrats, male democrats, and black democrats may just stay home or vote for Ralph Nader in protest. Ultimately, McCain could really benefit from Hillary winning the nomination even though she should be the much, much stronger general election candidate. The huge lovefest for Obama means that he is still untested and unvetted. Clinton's campaign can't even really criticize him without being labelled racist within their own party. And Obama sucks to the point of comedy at answering serious questions about a background that does not indicate he really is much of a color-blind democratic Messiah. Pastorgate wasn't just interesting because Obama's minister is a total racist or that underneath the public persona Obama may be just another Al Sharpton; it's interesting because it shows Obama to be a liar; it's interesting because he publicly went forward with a clumsy and false statement that although he's known the reverend and attended the church for years, he's never heard similar views from the reverend -- given the minister quotes that other church-goers have provided the media from the years that Obama intermittently attend, Obama is either insipid beyond belief or he's lying. And while the Democratic party will give him a pass on lying openly about his past, the Republican party in the general election will not. Nobody really knows anything about Obama. We've been told that he cut his teeth in Illinois politics, but that he remained pure. Yeah, right. We're told that he was a poor black kind growing up who somehow had pockets full of drugs, which he sometime sampled, but that he never sold those drugs. Yeah, right. Republicans will be supplying the documents, witnesses, and facts that Hillary wishes she could on the eve of the general election. Republicans will have no reservations about hitting Obama because they will know they can win the presidency even with the democratic candidate capturing 90 percent of the African-American vote, something that both Kerry and Gore delivered and lost with. If Hillary captured 90 percent of the female vote in the general election, she wins in a landslide. Ultimately, while Hillary has been a tested winner carrying tons of baggage and negatives, the love-fest on Obama may lead Democrats to nominate him even though they have every reason to believe that once the love-fest ends, he will crumble. -=John Galt=- > For anybody who cares about the Steel Cage Death Match > that is the Democratic presidential race here in the > States, check out the text of Barack Obama's speech that > he gave this morning on the issue of racial tension in > America and the recent controversy over remarks made by > Barack's former pastor. > > I'm semi-addicted to this real-life reality contest, and I > read this speech and thought, "Obama fucking nailed it." > If you've been following "Pastorgate" the past few days, > you know Obama was in serious trouble. Doubtless he's > lost some white voters over this situation, but still, > reading the speech, I think he did outstanding damage > control and turned a a huge negative into, maybe, a huge > positive, taking the opportunity to make an inspiring, > eloquent, RATIONALE speech on a topic that transcends > standard-fare campaign stumping. Something Hillary > Clinton won't be able to match without looking the fool: > "Oh, um, by the way, I believe racism is bad, too. And my > healthcare plan is better. Call me at 3:00am. We'll > talk." | |
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